The ranks of the ‘NeverTrumpers’ has been shrinking of late. For most of the summer, conventional wisdom was that Mr. Trump’s chance of being president was slightly less than a snowball surviving in hell, but his resurgence since Labor Day has a number of Democrats feeling increasingly nervous.
So, what would November 9th look like if Donald Trump wins? According to David Woo, head of Global Rates and Currencies for Bank of America, “the U.S. economy would take off in a big way.” Woo believes that Trump would spend in a big way on infrastructure while enacting a significant tax cut.
Republicans could control all three branches of government
A Trump win would also increase the chances that the Republicans will maintain control of the Senate while their majority in the House would remain intact. Trump would also fill the existing vacancy on the Supreme Court, presumably giving the Court a more conservative look. This would be the nightmare scenario for Democrats. Donald Trump in the White House with conservative Congress and Supreme Court would set the stage for a dramatic reversal of the nation’s direction.
The First Day Project
Trump formed a transition team in early August which is funded by the federal government as part of a new program to accelerate Presidential transitions. There is a rumored ‘First Day Project,’ which the New Yorker describes as Trump spending several hours on his first day in office signing executive orders undoing a number of policies which President Obama has enacted over the past eight years using executive power.
Trump spends several hours signing papers—and erases the Obama Presidency. We want to identify maybe twenty-five executive orders that Trump could sign literally the first day in office. — Stephen Moore
Everything is negotiable with Trump
Donald Trump’s policy positions are a work in process. Trump has said that “everything is negotiable,” which means that once he is in power, Trump may be more willing than some think to modify his positions. He has dropped confusing hints that suggest he might alter his position on immigration when actually faced with the reality of deporting some eleven million illegal immigrants or building a wall along the entire Mexican border. There is little doubt that under a Trump administration, America would retreat from trying to solve the world’s problems.
Trump would be richest President
Donald Trump would be the richest person to ever occupy the Oval Office. According to NPR, there is no federal law that requires a president to sell his assets upon taking office. Most presidents have set up a blind trust to manage their assets while in office, although President Obama declined to do so. Trump would probably entrust the running of his various companies to his adult children, Ivanka, Donald Jr., and Eric, but they would also be active in the White House.
If Donald Trump is elected President, it will be with a mandate to enact large-scale change. His supporters are unhappy with the way the government is run and feel that America has forgotten its roots. The U.S. would likely become more isolationist and self-focused.
Trump victory less than probable, but certainly possible
One person who will be unhappy on Trump’s Inauguration Day will be the current President of the United States, Barack Obama. The campaign rhetoric between Mr. Trump and Mr. Obama has been unusually harsh, and there is no reason to expect that to change. Mr. Trump would be the oldest man ever elected President and fifteen years Obama’s senior.
A Trump victory is still less than probable, but it has indeed grown more possible over the past few weeks.